Ask a question.
Track the market signal in real time.

Create monitors like “Iran conflict risk” or “AI regulation”. Frontseer curates the relevant prediction markets, tracks forecast shifts, and alerts your team when the outlook changes.

frontseer.com/monitors/iran-war
Monitor · Iran war
Forecast index
43
24h delta
1h delta
+6 pts
Confidence
Medium
Core markets
5
5 core / 12 related
Suggested alerts
Alert when forecast moves >8 pts within 1 week
What drove the move
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?+0.7 pts
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?+0.6 pts
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz?+0.6 pts
Market data+ Add markets
MarketYes / NoMoveRole
US x Iran permanent peace deal
StableCore
Will the U.S. invade Iran before...
StableCore
e.g., minimum volume 5000, sort by 24h move

How Frontseer works

From question to actionable intelligence in four steps.

1

Ask a question

Enter a natural-language query like "Iran conflict risk". Frontseer translates it into a structured monitor.

2

Curate the market set

AI aggregates relevant prediction markets from Kalshi and Polymarket, classifying each as core, related, or context.

3

Track the live forecast

Monitor your forecast index in real time — see deltas, confidence levels, and which markets are driving movement.

4

Alert your team

Get notified when forecasts move, important markets reprice, or confidence drops below your threshold.

Everything you need to stay ahead

A complete intelligence workflow — from question to action.

Natural-language monitors

Create monitors from plain-English questions. No query language, no manual configuration.

Live forecast index

See a single probability signal with 1h and 24h deltas. Know what moved and by how much.

Market-level evidence

Every forecast is backed by visible market data. See which markets contribute and how each one moved.

AI-assisted curation

Frontseer classifies markets as core, related, or context — and suggests refinements as new markets emerge.

Configurable alerts

Set alerts on forecast moves, confidence changes, or market activity. Route the right signals to the right people.

Team collaboration

Share monitors, review changes together, and build a shared intelligence view across your organization.

See it in action

Real monitors tracking real-world risk — powered by live prediction market data.

Monitor
Iran conflict risk
68%+6 pts · 24hMedium confidence
COREIran/Israel military conflict
72%
COREUS sanctions expansion
61%
RELATEDOil above $90/bbl Q3
45%

Iran conflict risk

See how Frontseer aggregates markets tracking Iran-related risks — from direct conflict probabilities to sanctions and oil supply impacts — into a single live forecast with real-time deltas.

  • Aggregates direct conflict, sanctions, and oil markets
  • Forecast index with 24h delta
  • Core vs related market classification
  • Suggested alerts on high-conviction moves

AI regulation

Track the evolving regulatory landscape for AI — from executive orders to EU AI Act enforcement — through curated prediction markets with clear signal classification.

  • Tracks executive orders, EU AI Act, state-level bills
  • AI curates direct vs indirect regulatory signals
  • Confidence scoring based on market depth
  • Continuous refinement as new markets emerge
Monitor
AI regulation
41%-3 pts · 24hHigh confidence
COREFederal AI regulation by 2026
38%
COREEU AI Act full enforcement
67%
RELATEDCalifornia AI safety bill
52%

Why teams choose Frontseer

Translate market signals into decisions — not noise.

Know what changed

Surface the most important forecast and market moves across your portfolio of monitors.

Understand why

See which markets are driving the shift, with full evidence at the market level.

Route attention automatically

Configure alerts to notify the right people when movement crosses your threshold.

Monitor continuously

Keep a live, always-on view on the questions that matter most to your team.

What will you monitor?

If prediction markets can signal it, Frontseer can monitor it.

Geopolitical risk
Track conflict, sanctions, and territorial disputes
AI & tech regulation
Monitor executive orders, AI acts, and compliance shifts
Elections & policy
Follow election outcomes, policy changes, and legislative risk
Energy & commodities
Watch oil prices, supply disruptions, and OPEC decisions
Macro & rates
Track Fed rate paths, recession signals, and inflation bets
Conflict escalation
Monitor military actions, ceasefire probabilities, and de-escalation
Regulatory tracking
Follow agency rulings, enforcement actions, and compliance deadlines
Sector watchlists
Build custom monitors for any forward-looking question

Built on transparent, evidence-backed intelligence

Real-time data from Kalshi and Polymarket
Every forecast backed by visible market evidence
AI-assisted curation with full transparency
Enterprise-ready collaboration and alerting

Start building the intelligence view your team needs

Turn forward-looking market signals into monitors, alerts, and team-ready intelligence.